General Pervez Musharraf ruled Pakistan for nine years until pushed into self-imposed exile. He returned today to stand for parliamentary elections in May.?
Pakistan's former ruler General Pervez Musharraf waves to supporters as he arrives at Karachi airport on Sunday.
Akhtar Soomro/Reuters
EnlargeThe return from self-imposed exile of Pakistan?s former president and army chief Pervez Musharraf has sparked little excitement in the country he ruled for nine years.
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Mr. Musharraf left Pakistan as a retired general, but returns as a politician whose party is planning to contest parliamentary elections this May while he has a number of legal notices to respond to.?While Musharraf says that he has returned to "save Pakistan," analysts believe that the former army chief will have a "minimal" impact, if at all, on the elections.
After several years of living in exile in London and Dubai, Musharraf announced that he would come back to Pakistan after the parliament ? that threatened to impeach him in 2008 ? completed its term and a caretaker government was in place. This was largely met with by skepticism, given that his return has often been delayed. He arrived in Karachi on Sunday and spoke briefly with supporters amassed at the airport.
?I have come back for the poor people,? he said, despite the threats to his life. ?I will be addressing rallies all over Pakistan, please come and listen to me again.? His planned rally on Sunday evening in Karachi was abandoned after the provincial police cancelled a no-objection certificate issued to his party for using the venue.
In 2010, Musharraf formed a political party called the All Pakistan Muslim League while living in London. But his career as a politician in exile has not been successful. Several members left the party after being disillusioned by Musharraf?s reluctance to come back to Pakistan. His party has little infrastructure or a membership base, and has not been an active political force to reckon with. Party spokesperson Aasia Ishaque said that ?Musharraf is a brave man? for opting to return and would be given a "grand welcome" by his supporters.
Musharraf and the All Pakistan Muslim League say they will be participating in the May 11 polls. However, analyst Ikram Sehgal says Musharraf would have a ?minimal? impact on the elections. The insurgent politician capturing attention isn't Musharraf, but cricketer-turned-politician Imran Khan.?According to Mr. Sehgal, ?The two main parties [the Pakistan Peoples Party and the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz] are worried about Imran Khan coming up in the stretch before the elections.?
Columnist Cyril Almeida says that ?Musharraf the politician today evokes the memory of Imran Khan from a decade ago: a high-wattage name, lots of media coverage, and absolutely no impact on the electorate. Perhaps the best punishment for Musharraf is the one he's chosen for himself: to court a voting public that has entirely moved on from the man and his era.?
Mr. Sehgal adds: ?At the end of the day, Musharraf?s supporters ? with or without his consent ? will end up supporting Imran Khan."
While Musharraf was once an ally of the US in the fight against Al Qaeda, his appeal has waned at home and abroad. Influential figures in Pakistani society, politics, and the military that used to back Musharraf have found other candidates to support, including Imran Khan and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party.
Despite this, Sehgal says that Musharraf would get a ?warm welcome in Karachi,? the country's business capital.
?The business community likes him,? he says. Pakistan's growth rate?picked up post-9/11, after Musharraf led the country into an alliance with the US in the war in Afghanistan.?
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